Insights / us
XYZ
Block, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.43%
P05–P95 span
12.05%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-5.86%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.00%P25: -4.11%P50: -1.43%P75: 0.76%P95: 4.05%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.