XYZ

Block, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.52%

P05–P95 span

14.53%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.71

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+5

-2.43%

Outer 90%

2/5(40%)

Middle 50%

1/5(20%)

Above median

0/5(0%)

Below median

5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.12%P25: -3.18%P50: -0.52%P75: 1.33%P95: 5.40%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.