Insights / us
XYZ
Block, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.86%
P05–P95 span
13.41%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-9.46%
Outer 90%
0/7(0%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.46%P25: -3.11%P50: -0.86%P75: 1.20%P95: 5.95%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.