Insights / us
MTCH
Match Group, Inc.US05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.05%
P05–P95 span
8.88%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.56%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.98%P25: -1.72%P50: -0.05%P75: 1.69%P95: 4.89%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.