Insights / us
MTCH
Match Group, Inc.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.24%
P05–P95 span
10.18%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.24%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.93%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.24%P75: 1.72%P95: 5.25%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.