MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.US04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.45%

P05–P95 span

13.39%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.73

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-3.71%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

6/10(60%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.86%P25: -2.30%P50: -0.45%P75: 1.93%P95: 6.52%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.