Insights / us
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.64%
P05–P95 span
24.55%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.40%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.95%P25: -1.53%P50: 0.64%P75: 3.30%P95: 17.60%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 30.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.