Insights / us
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.US04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.36%
P05–P95 span
13.86%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.45%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.86%P25: -3.15%P50: -0.36%P75: 1.84%P95: 5.00%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 18.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.