402340

SK스퀘어KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.44%
P05–P95 span
30.03%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+27.08%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.59%P25: -4.65%P50: -1.44%P75: 1.62%P95: 17.43%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.