402340

SK스퀘어KR05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.44%
P05–P95 span
16.39%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+18.23%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.80%P25: -6.54%P50: -1.44%P75: 0.63%P95: 4.59%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.