402340

SK스퀘어KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.55%
P05–P95 span
29.97%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+23.83%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.04%P25: -2.81%P50: 0.55%P75: 4.92%P95: 19.93%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.