Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.17%
P05–P95 span
15.54%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.44%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.77%P25: -3.51%P50: -1.17%P75: 0.66%P95: 7.77%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.