Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.63%
P05–P95 span
16.28%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.81%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.97%P25: -1.68%P50: 0.63%P75: 2.98%P95: 10.31%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.