Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.56%
P05–P95 span
19.45%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.25%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.58%P25: -7.10%P50: -0.56%P75: 1.56%P95: 7.88%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.