Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.25%
P05–P95 span
12.94%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.44%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.22%P25: -1.97%P50: 0.25%P75: 2.49%P95: 7.72%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.