Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.81%
P05–P95 span
30.03%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.39%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.03%P25: -2.74%P50: 0.81%P75: 5.02%P95: 22.00%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.