Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.84%
P05–P95 span
12.79%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.29%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.00%P25: -2.08%P50: -0.84%P75: 0.93%P95: 4.78%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.