Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.91%
P05–P95 span
31.37%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.24%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.15%P25: -8.10%P50: -0.91%P75: 3.89%P95: 18.22%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.