Insights / kr
114090
GKLKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.54%
P05–P95 span
15.01%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+15.59%
Outer 90%
2/7(29%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.07%P25: -2.72%P50: -0.54%P75: 2.17%P95: 6.93%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.