Insights / kr
114090
GKLKR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.51%
P05–P95 span
18.40%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+13.98%
Outer 90%
2/8(25%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
6/8(75%)
Below median
2/8(25%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.18%P25: -2.64%P50: 0.51%P75: 2.37%P95: 7.22%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.