Insights / kr
114090
GKLKR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.51%
P05–P95 span
14.33%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+14.19%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
6/6(100%)
Below median
0/6(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.67%P25: -0.42%P50: 1.51%P75: 3.78%P95: 7.66%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.