Insights / kr
114090
GKLKR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.82%
P05–P95 span
19.08%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+12.11%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
6/9(67%)
Below median
3/9(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.40%P25: -3.31%P50: -0.82%P75: 1.43%P95: 9.69%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.