Insights / kr
030200
KTKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
12.91%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+11.94%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.14%P25: -1.37%P50: 0.21%P75: 2.84%P95: 6.78%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 26.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.