Insights / kr
030200
KTKR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.80%
P05–P95 span
9.58%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+13.64%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.72%P25: -0.51%P50: 0.80%P75: 2.37%P95: 5.86%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.