Insights / kr
030200
KTKR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.40%
P05–P95 span
15.86%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+9.09%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.57%P25: -2.14%P50: 0.40%P75: 2.99%P95: 6.29%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.