Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.54%
P05–P95 span
16.46%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+35.49%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.32%P25: -2.87%P50: -0.54%P75: 1.15%P95: 9.13%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 25.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.