Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.03%
P05–P95 span
12.31%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.16%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.99%P25: -3.76%P50: -1.03%P75: 1.62%P95: 5.32%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.