Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.66%
P05–P95 span
14.66%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+41.92%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.65%P25: -3.18%P50: -0.66%P75: 2.42%P95: 10.02%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.