016360

삼성증권KR05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.08%
P05–P95 span
10.83%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-5.33%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
3/7(43%)
Below median
4/7(57%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.53%P25: -1.78%P50: -0.08%P75: 1.90%P95: 5.29%

Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.