Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
26.20%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-10.56%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.73%P25: -2.98%P50: 0.00%P75: 3.68%P95: 17.47%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.