016360

삼성증권KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
17.81%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-9.11%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.44%P25: -2.41%P50: 0.15%P75: 2.27%P95: 11.38%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.