Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.36%
P05–P95 span
19.94%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-11.27%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.12%P25: -0.91%P50: 0.36%P75: 4.04%P95: 12.83%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.