Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.59%
P05–P95 span
15.35%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+12.00%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
2/3(67%)
Below median
1/3(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.64%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.59%P75: 2.50%P95: 7.70%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.