Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.66%
P05–P95 span
22.28%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+2.94%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.28%P25: -5.92%P50: -1.66%P75: 1.84%P95: 10.00%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.