Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.61%
P05–P95 span
16.69%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-6.79%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.43%P25: -4.88%P50: -2.61%P75: -0.74%P95: 6.26%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.