Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.72%
P05–P95 span
13.91%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-6.42%
Outer 90%
0/5(0%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.93%P25: -4.22%P50: -1.72%P75: 1.74%P95: 5.98%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.