Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.31%
P05–P95 span
13.91%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+4.24%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.00%P25: -3.07%P50: -1.31%P75: 0.11%P95: 2.92%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.