Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.17%
P05–P95 span
10.57%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+2.91%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.05%P25: -3.32%P50: -1.17%P75: 0.45%P95: 4.51%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.