010950

S-OilKR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-2.68%

P05–P95 span

21.20%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.58

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+5

+3.67%

Outer 90%

3/5(60%)

Middle 50%

1/5(20%)

Above median

5/5(100%)

Below median

0/5(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -17.92%P25: -6.56%P50: -2.68%P75: -0.20%P95: 3.28%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.