Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.16%
P05–P95 span
23.98%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+7.10%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.15%P25: -1.24%P50: 0.16%P75: 2.73%P95: 12.84%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.