Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.45%
P05–P95 span
9.25%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+9.91%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
6/6(100%)
Below median
0/6(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.06%P25: -0.59%P50: 0.45%P75: 1.91%P95: 5.19%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.