Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.46%
P05–P95 span
12.10%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+5.60%
Outer 90%
3/8(38%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.58%P25: -7.01%P50: -3.46%P75: -0.46%P95: 1.52%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.