Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.71%
P05–P95 span
14.52%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+5.11%
Outer 90%
5/9(56%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.43%P25: -6.39%P50: -2.71%P75: -0.71%P95: 3.09%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.