005380

현대차KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.00%
P05–P95 span
15.20%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-13.60%
Outer 90%
0/4(0%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.62%P25: -3.78%P50: -1.00%P75: 2.89%P95: 7.58%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.