005380

현대차KR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
14.73%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-3.86%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
1/3(33%)
Below median
2/3(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.97%P25: -4.44%P50: -1.64%P75: -0.16%P95: 1.75%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.