005380

현대차KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.45%
P05–P95 span
31.77%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.36
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-15.68%
Outer 90%
1/5(20%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.93%P25: -3.87%P50: -1.45%P75: 2.28%P95: 23.84%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.