Insights / kr
001450
현대해상KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.52%
P05–P95 span
14.70%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.32%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.98%P25: -1.77%P50: 1.52%P75: 4.55%P95: 8.72%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.