Insights / kr
001450
현대해상KR04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.90%
P05–P95 span
19.15%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.98%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.34%P25: 1.01%P50: 2.90%P75: 6.16%P95: 15.81%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.