Insights / kr
001450
현대해상KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.88%
P05–P95 span
12.20%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.80%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.42%P25: -0.42%P50: 1.88%P75: 4.28%P95: 8.78%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.