Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.29%
P05–P95 span
10.67%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+14.51%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.66%P25: -1.77%P50: -0.29%P75: 1.51%P95: 6.01%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.